Archive for October, 2013

2014-2016

Posted: October 30, 2013 in novel

2014

US intelligence reports North Korea has aimed a neutron weapons at Seoul, South Korea.  The UN, the US and NATO demand North Korea stands down.  When North Korea requests support from the PRC, neither manpower nor arms are lent, and the PRC states they will not intervene on behalf of either side.  Five North Korean fighters draw first-fire from the NATO and cause considerable damage to the Canadian HMCS Iroquois destroyer.  For three days, the fleet launches SRBMs to North Korean sites suspected of harboring weapons, including the site of the neutron missile.  North Korea successfully counters most of the strikes, but suffers great damage.  NATO lands ground forces into the demilitarized zone.  Secretly, the UN and North Korea agree on a deal that planned weapons inspections will be postponed indefinitely if the weapon is removed.  North Korea allows inspectors to watch the withdrawal of the neutron weapon.  When the UN announces the deal, dozens of member nations in the UN disapprove.  NATO ground forces are removed, but the fleet remains in the Sea of Japan.

Intel releases the Eptium central processing unit (CPU).  The Pentium, released first in 1993 with a name based on ancient Greek “pente-“ for “five”, was the fifth generation of the Intel CPU line.  Relatively soon after its marketing, in 1995, the P6, or sixth generation CPU, became available to high-end models, but because of the marketing of the “Pentium” standard, so Intel retained the Pentium namesake and called the CPU the Pentium Pro or P6.  CPU development then moved toward multi-coring and using more than one Pentium CPU.  The Eptium, based on ancient Greek “epta-“ for “seven,” marked a new technology considered by Intel to be the seventh generation and produced a CPU that doubled the P6 processing ability.  The Eptium Max is released in 2017, but in actuality increased the processing to E8, or eighth generation, levels.

The Namibia Round of negotiations of the World Trade Organization (WTO) begin where the Doha round ended, with an expressed desire to enhance participation of poorer nations but in effect giving an edge to affluent nations.  Several points quickly reach stagnation, but a Dutch move to simplify the patent process in the EU finds momentum.

The mid-term elections in the US see the widest range of political parties since the earliest elections of the nation.  Independently, the Tea and the Parecon parties campaign their own candidates, en lieu of the Republicans and the Democrats.  Independents, Socialists and the Green Party support viable candidates in many states.  In the Senate, 32 Democrats and 34 Republicans do not face re-election.   The remaining 34 seats are won by:  eight Democrats, seven Republicans, seven Tea, four Parecons, three Independents, and two Socialists and two Green.  The House of Representative becomes split 28% Democratic, 25% Republican, 20% Tea, 18% Parecon, with 3% for each the Independent, Socialist and Green parties.

2015

UN orders Turkey to vacate its occupation of northern Cyprus.  The resolution is one of many since 1974 Turkey attempted to takeover Cyprus.  UN peacekeeping troops are assigned.  Officially, Turkey recants its recognition of The Turkish Republic of Northern Cyprus, a nation only it recognized, and announces an open door policy for refugees.

The WTO agrees to allow the International Patent Commission (IPC) to splinter from the WTO.

Fearful of the political volatility suggested by the mid-term elections, a group calling themselves The Crust, secretly meet.  The Crust is a group of middle to moderate level management, from each of the financial conglomerates and assorted other industrial firms.  These middle managers recognize that popular movements will soon make life as they knew it impossible.  Essentially, the meeting is a coupe de tat of upper-level management.  They forge the “Corruption Management Plan.”  They begin collecting sensitive evidence of fraud, malfeasance, collusion, and improprieties of their executive officers, as well as other illegal activities such as harassment, drug use and utilization of prostitution.  Much of this information was already known to the US FBI and national media.  A conduit, known as the Phantom, gains access to many of the new members of Congress.  By the end of the year, the Conflict of Interest and Corruption Control Acts pass, but the US Securities Bill of 2015 fails.  The Acts lay clear parameters for acceptable and inacceptable relationships for nominees of all Cabinet posts and staff, and defines a new set of “crimes against economy.”  These criminals lose all personal assets, which will be placed against the US National Debt.  The failure of the new Securities Act reaffirms the deregulation of financial practices.

Within days of the passage of the Corruption Control Act, dozens of the wealthiest Americans are arrested, with their massive holdings are used to radically reduce the US debt.  Popular support is extreme.  US productivity soars and unemployment reduces to 4%, its lowest level since the 1950s.  Economic growth follows, with the Crust becoming the new leaders.

The Vodafone Electronics Corporation launches the first completely commercial rocket without government involvement in the launch.  The vehicle design came from Bristol SpacePlanes, which Vodafone bought in 2014. Prior to the Vodafone space venture, satellites had been launched by government agencies or consortia, or by aeronautical industries with governmental ties. The Vodafone launch site at Ascension Island was completely funded and maintained by the corporation to control the cost of satellite dispersal. Other electronics companies construct their own sites within the next five years.

Indian engineer Tahir Malik applies for a patent for a process he calls “Rapid Fossilization.”  Since 2005, Malik has researched “Anaerobic Composting.”  Typically, composting, a natural process involving the decay of organic materials, requires aerobic decomposition and creates a fertile and natural additive for soil.  Malik’s hypothesized that aided by a catalyst a structured anaerobic decomposition could be achieved.  Further, with the correct catalyst, the matter composted could include petroleum-based waste products, such as used oil, plastics and enhanced rubber.  A natural fungal strain discovered in 2012 served as the catalyst.  Malik discovered anaerobic composting expedited the composting remarkably well.  In the anaerobic vats he built, composting that would normally take a year was accomplished in days.  That decay is the first stage of the much longer process called “fossilization.”  If he extended the time frame, he felt might cause rapid fossilization.  The artificial fossils then could be processed into new and unlimited fossil fuels; however, the fungi available could not cause the rapid reaction.  Without the catalyzing agent known, he applies for a patent for “Rapid Fossilization” process.  Patent server Padma Das becomes immediately interested, but rather than permitting the patent, she contacts her supervisors, who contact the government.  They think that the publication of Malik’s work would alert petroleum manufacturers who might interfere.  The Indian government communicates with Malik that his research potentially could be enormously damaging to oil manufacturers and to the overall global economy.  The Indian government offers to sponsor the research if he does it in secretly.

Researchers at the Large Hadron Collider discovers the Higgs boson, a subatomic particle.  There had been much anticipation about the discovery in quantum physics, and many physicists doubted its existence.  Non-scientists speculated that the discovery and/or isolation of the particle could result in an artificial black hole.  The discovery has no universal effects, but adds more questions than answers about quantum theory, especially since the Higgs boson oscillates in a fashion not predicted.

The “Digital Conspiracy” is revealed. Through much of the 20th century, an ongoing debate ensued about the use of subliminal suggestions in video and audio on air performances. The major contention became whether advertisers used unfair stimuli on the psyche to affect sales. By the end of the century, most experts agreed only marginal success could be quantified on the process. With the digital signal used, the possibility rose that coding could be attached to binary signals. While the piggy-backed programs had little direct impact on the user, they mapped social habits just as spyware. Many entertainment producers are charged with Privacy Act invasions with their use of digital communications.

The Pacific Union (PU) treaty is signed in Sydney, Australia.  The 14 nations of Oceania agree on free trade issues.  Japan, the US, Indonesia, the Philippines, and the principality of Hong Kong are invited as non-voting observers.

2016

Except for Serbia, the Balkan nations, as well as Poland, the Czech Republic, Lithuania and Latvia are admitted into the Eurozone, and the Eurozone closely aligns with the EU.  The UK, Sweden and Switzerland have opted out.  For the most part only a few European countries do not belong to the Eurozone, and all nations use some of the European Union’s benefits.  With the Eurozone’s gross national product roughly equal to the US, it has become the richest union in the world.  The US retains a lead over the PRC and Japan to be the wealthiest independent nation.

The IPC meets jointly with the WTO.  Members elect Willem van Limbergen as Chair of the new IPC.  Within the year, many members attempt to impeach him, due to his vision of the patent system.  He calls for “a hard and soft patent system.”  Hard patents, aimed for 75% new discoveries and inventions, are geared to protect the inventor and sponsor.  They work like contracts with “a sponsoring government,” with the IPC as arbitrator.  Soft patents can occur after a patent design is registered with the IPC.  The sponsoring government derives contracts with other nations for the use of the invention or discovery.  Two non-patent categories are formed:  Collaborations and Innovations.  If a party adapts a patented item by 50-75%, the work cannot be claimed as a new patent with the IPC, but the original patent sponsor is obligated either to contract with the new collaborator or to allow the collaboration to be granted a new patent from the IPC.  Innovations constitute changes of less than 25% of the original technology.  If the innovator cannot agree to terms with the sponsor, the sponsor can accept the innovation as natural progression and claim the innovation, as long as the IPC feels the sponsor attempted arbitration in good faith.

The debate on patents gives rise to the second full meeting of the Crust’s principals.  More industrial leaders and international financial representatives are invited, but the group remains extremely secretive.  Safeguards are placed for low and middle income to avoid worst-end scenarios of minor failed loans, which are intended to circumvent popular support against capitalism.  Old practices are re-tooled to allow financial gains for corporate leaders.  Measures are made to abide by new patent oversight.  A consignor board of ten is selected to continue crust on-going activities, communicated in code via the Internet.

At the University of Catania, Argentina, Dr. Elena Drivas creates a single-celled artificial organism with an advanced proto-nucleus. The microbe does not fit in any known scientific classification, so is given a new biological domain class, called the Facticia and a new bio-kingdom named Ormiskos. The organism, labeled the Proto-Facticius One (PF1) becomes the first of several artificial microbes that genetic biologists produce.  Malik asks the Indian government to contact Drivas, in hopes of developing an artificial microbe could be used as his needed catalyst for rapid fossilization.  They work together for many years and eventually marry.

Forward

Posted: October 30, 2013 in novel

I do not forecast these events.  This future timeline is a step that has taken considerable preparation for a series of novels.  That path began with a true historic timeline, and now with a future one.

I am a fan of science fiction.  I even enjoy it when it is bad.  For me, the fiction can be bad for many reasons, characters I care little about, plot lines that adhere only by coincidence, unreasonable turns taken by writers that do not appear to have read their own work.  The science can fail for the same or other reasons.  I have often wondered why aliens whose only purpose in life is to consume violently have developed technology capable of breaking laws of relativity.  The science fiction that makes me think holds me for all of the right reasons.  I want my fiction to make you think.

Early in this timeline, early so that I will not spoil it badly, geneticists complete the mapping of DNA and learn how to clone organisms.  They almost have reached the former and can perform the latter.  Reasonably, next ability in the sequence would be the creation of unnatural organisms, and likely this discovery would first turn to microbes.  Genetic engineering could instill desired genetic traits.  Natural microbes are reasonable for decay and composting.  If geneticists could produce more effective decay, they could accelerate decay.  Decay was the first step in the formation of certain types of fossils, namely oil.  Oil is basic in our current lifestyle, and supplies are becoming exhausted.  Effective fungi might lead to rapid fossilization.  That idea is a stretch.  Fossilization took millennia, but if the fungi are effective enough, perhaps…

The science, business and politics I reveal are items of fiction, but I have tried to make most anticipations as reasonable as possible, while planning out the background to my actual novels.  I think they are interesting enough that you may enjoy.  Please note that the first few years of the timeline concern recent history, and are real and mostly accurate.  Their typeface is italic to make it distinct from the fiction.

The fiction is unique.  The plot is our future.